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Imagine scanning billions of pages of human-written text (say on the web and in digitized books) and finding all instances of this text-then seeing what word comes next what fraction of the time. So let’s say we’ve got the text “ The best thing about AI is its ability to”. The first thing to explain is that what ChatGPT is always fundamentally trying to do is to produce a “reasonable continuation” of whatever text it’s got so far, where by “reasonable” we mean “what one might expect someone to write after seeing what people have written on billions of webpages, etc.” (And the essence of what I’ll say applies just as well to other current “large language models” as to ChatGPT.) I should say at the outset that I’m going to focus on the big picture of what’s going on-and while I’ll mention some engineering details, I won’t get deeply into them. But how does it do it? And why does it work? 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